Models & Data

We put a number on every climate pledge.

Name: NDC Quantification: emissions pathways for every country
Creator: Climate Resource
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

The NDCs of 196 parties and their long-term strategies, translated into consistent emissions trajectories since 2015 — updated continuously as parties submit.

Data release 21 October 2026, updated with every submission

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196

Parties whose NDCs we have quantified

1.7–2.3°C

Warming by 2100 if NDCs and long-term strategies are delivered in full

81%

Of 2024 global emissions now covered by a quantified 2030 target

Coverage

Global target coverage

We have quantified the NDCs of 196 parties. Not every party has a target for each year: 189 have submitted a 2030 target and 144 have submitted a 2035 target. Ambition and detail also vary enormously. Some governments set economy-wide, unconditional targets out to 2035, while others cover a narrower slice of emissions, or make their pledge conditional on international finance.

We turn each commitment into an emissions pathway, using the same gases, sectors and historical data for every country. This lets targets be compared fairly across countries and through time, not just read off headline percentages.

2035 or later target2030 target onlyEarlier target onlyNo quantified targetNot a party / not covered

189
Parties with a submitted 2030 target
81%
Of 2024 global emissions covered by a 2030 target
95%
Of 2024 global population covered by a 2030 target
144
Parties with a submitted 2035 target
70%
Of 2024 global emissions covered by a 2035 target
81%
Of 2024 global population covered by a 2035 target

Ranking

Who has set which targets

Parties ranked by their share of global emissions, with the target years each has communicated. Long-term means any target after 2035. Shares for 2030 and 2035 follow each party’s quantified pathway.

Rank by share of emissions in

Only parties with a target for

Parties ranked by share of 2019 global emissions, with their 2030, 2035 and long-term targets
#	Party	Share of 2019 emissions	2030	2035	Long-term
1	China	28%	✓	✓	✓
2	United States	13%	·	·	·
3	India	6.7%	✓	✓	✓
4	Russian Federation	4.2%	✓	✓	✓
5	Japan	2.4%	✓	✓	✓
6	Brazil	2.3%	✓	✓	✓
7	Iran, Islamic Republic of	2.1%	✓	·	·
8	Indonesia	2.0%	✓	✓	✓
9	Germany	1.6%	✓	✓	✓
10	Mexico	1.5%	✓	✓	✓
11	Korea, Republic of	1.5%	✓	✓	✓
12	Canada	1.5%	✓	✓	✓
13	Saudi Arabia	1.5%	✓	·	✓
14	Australia	1.1%	✓	✓	✓
15	Türkiye	1.1%	✓	✓	✓
16	South Africa	1.0%	✓	✓	✓
17	Viet Nam	1.0%	✓	·	✓
18	Pakistan	0.9%	✓	✓	·
19	United Kingdom	0.9%	✓	✓	✓
20	France	0.9%	✓	✓	✓

Factsheets

Country factsheets

Every party’s pledges, quantified on a consistent basis. Choose a country to see its full submission history, target coverage and emissions pathway.

196 countries

Featured · largest emitters

Using the data

Free for non-commercial use

Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.

Go deeper

Beyond the headline pledge

Behind every quantified NDC sits more detail than one pathway can show. We build these views with governments, research teams and investors.

Targets vs current policies

We compare what governments have pledged with what current policy settings are actually projected to deliver, so the size of the implementation gap is visible, not just the ambition gap.

Ask about the policy gap

By-gas and sector projections

We break quantified targets down by gas and by sector, so a headline pledge can be read as the mix of energy, land use, industry and methane commitments that sit behind it.

Ask about gas and sector detail

We build these views with clients and collaborators, from a bespoke assessment of a single country’s targets through to ongoing access to the full database. If one of these would be useful, we would like to hear from you.