Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading United Arab Emirates’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
United Arab Emirates’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 83–89% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
United Arab Emirates’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 83–89% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
183Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2023AR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
105Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2024AR5, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
0 – 13Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jan 2024AR4, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target United Arab Emirates has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for United Arab Emirates, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
223
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
235
Mt CO₂-eq
+5% vs 2019
2030 · projected
241
Mt CO₂-eq
+8% vs 2019
2035 · projected
112
Mt CO₂-eq
−50% vs 2019
2050 · projected
37
Mt CO₂-eq
−83% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 19.0% below 2019 levels.
Unconditional
183 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2023
Unconditionally: 47.0% below 2019 levels.
Unconditional
105 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2024
Unconditionally: An absolute target of between net-zero emissions and 13.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
0 – 13 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jan 2024
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy United Arab Emirates has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Oct 2015
NDC · Sep 2016
2021
Unconditionally: 23.8% below 2014 levels.
NDC · Dec 2020
2030
Unconditionally: A 23.5% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2022
2030
Unconditionally: A 31.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jul 2023
Active
2030
Unconditionally: 19.0% below 2019 levels.
NDC · Nov 2024
Active
2035
Unconditionally: 47.0% below 2019 levels.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Jan 2024
Active
2050
Unconditionally: An absolute target of between net-zero emissions and 13.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.