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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
India’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 47–101% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
India’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 47–101% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
2,799 – 3,075Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2022SAR, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
4,997 – 6,029Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Apr 2026AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target India has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for India, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
3,300
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
3,843
Mt CO₂-eq
+16% vs 2019
2030 · projected
4,249
Mt CO₂-eq
+29% vs 2019
2035 · projected
6,640
Mt CO₂-eq
+101% vs 2019
2050 · projected
4,056
Mt CO₂-eq
+23% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 45.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005.
Unconditional
2,799 – 3,075 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2022
Unconditionally: 47.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005.
Unconditional
4,997 – 6,029 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Apr 2026
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Apr 2026
Unconditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: A custom target, approximated as: Net zero emissions. Coverage: only CO2. The high end of ambition is: Net zero emissions. Coverage: all gases.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2022
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy India has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Oct 2015
2030
Unconditionally: Between 33.0% and 35.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005.
NDC · Oct 2016
2030
Unconditionally: Between 33.0% and 35.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005.
NDC · Aug 2022
Active
2030
Unconditionally: 45.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005.
NDC · Apr 2026
Active
20352070
Unconditionally: 47.0% reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2005. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Nov 2022
Active
2070
Unconditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: A custom target, approximated as: Net zero emissions. Coverage: only CO2. The high end of ambition is: Net zero emissions. Coverage: all gases.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.