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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Viet Nam’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 53–92% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Viet Nam’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 53–92% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
789Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022AR4, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
0 – 186Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022AR4, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Viet Nam has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Viet Nam, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
471
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
508
Mt CO₂-eq
+8% vs 2019
2030 · projected
567
Mt CO₂-eq
+20% vs 2019
2035 · projected
481
Mt CO₂-eq
+2% vs 2019
2050 · projected
223
Mt CO₂-eq
−53% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 12.5% (unconditional) to 28.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
642 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
526 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022
A 15.8% (unconditional) to 43.5% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
789 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
530 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022
Conditionally: An absolute target of between net-zero emissions and 185.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
0 – 186 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Viet Nam has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
A 8.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2016
2030
A 8.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2020
20252030
A 9.0% (unconditional) to 27.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Unconditionally: A 7.3% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2022
Active
202520302050
A 12.5% (unconditional) to 28.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 15.8% (unconditional) to 43.5% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: An absolute target of between net-zero emissions and 185.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.