Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Ukraine’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Ukraine’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 3–34% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Ukraine’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 3–34% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
319Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2021AR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
319Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
Net zero
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jul 2026AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Ukraine has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Ukraine, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
339
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
226
Mt CO₂-eq
−33% vs 2019
2030 · projected
331
Mt CO₂-eq
−3% vs 2019
2035 · projected
330
Mt CO₂-eq
−3% vs 2019
2050 · projected
18
Mt CO₂-eq
−95% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 65.0% below 1990 levels.
Unconditional
319 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2021
Unconditionally: 65.0% below 1990 levels.
Unconditional
319 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025
Unconditionally: In 2060: Net zero emissions. Conditionally: In 2050: 85.0% below 1990 levels.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
137 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2021
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jul 2026
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Ukraine has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
Unconditionally: 40.0% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Sep 2016
2030
Unconditionally: 40.0% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Jul 2021
Active
203020502060
Unconditionally: 65.0% below 1990 levels. Unconditionally: In 2060: Net zero emissions. Conditionally: In 2050: 85.0% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Nov 2025
Active
20352050
Unconditionally: 65.0% below 1990 levels. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Jul 2018
20502060
A 31.0% (unconditional) to 34.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990. Conditionally: Net zero emissions.
LT-LEDS · Jul 2026
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.