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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Zimbabwe has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Zimbabwe has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
86Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2021SAR
2035 target
127Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
32 – 33Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2022GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Zimbabwe has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Zimbabwe, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
30
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
33
Mt CO₂-eq
+12% vs 2019
2030 · projected
51
Mt CO₂-eq
+72% vs 2019
2035 · projected
36
Mt CO₂-eq
+20% vs 2019
2050 · projected
−7.9
Mt CO₂-eq
−127% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 40.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
86 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
51 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2021
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 39.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
127 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
77 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025
Unconditionally: An absolute target of between 32.1 and 33.2 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
32 – 33 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2022
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Zimbabwe has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
Conditionally: Per-capita emissions of 2.2 t CO2-e/yr.
NDC · Aug 2017
2030
Conditionally: Per-capita emissions of 2.2 t CO2-e/yr.
NDC · Sep 2021
Active
2030
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 40.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Feb 2025
Active
2035
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 39.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Nov 2022
Active
2050
Unconditionally: An absolute target of between 32.1 and 33.2 Mt CO2-e/yr.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.