Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Kazakhstan’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Kazakhstan’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 15% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Kazakhstan’s 2035 pledge: 25.0% below 1990 levels.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 15% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
336Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2023AR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
318Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: 25.0% below 1990 levels.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Kazakhstan, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
378
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
361
Mt CO₂-eq
−5% vs 2019
2030 · projected
314
Mt CO₂-eq
−17% vs 2019
2035 · projected
320
Mt CO₂-eq
−15% vs 2019
2050 · projected
147
Mt CO₂-eq
−61% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 15.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990.
Unconditional
336 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
296 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2023
A 17.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990.
Unconditional
318 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
287 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2023
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Kazakhstan has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
A 15.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990.
NDC · Dec 2016
2030
A 15.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990.
NDC · Jun 2023
Active
20302060
A 15.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
NDC · Nov 2025
Active
2035
A 17.0% (unconditional) to 25.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 1990.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.