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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Central African Republic’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Central African Republic’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 86% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
The Central African Republic’s 2035 pledge: A 17.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 86% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
16Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2022GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
5.2 – 6.4Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Mar 2026AR5, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
99Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2016 · supersededGWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ. If the latest pledge has no figure for a year, we show the last pledge that did.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: A 17.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Central African Republic, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
21
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
20
Mt CO₂-eq
−1% vs 2019
2030 · projected
12
Mt CO₂-eq
−43% vs 2019
2035 · projected
3
Mt CO₂-eq
−86% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 9.0% (unconditional) to 14.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
13 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
12 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2022
A 11.8% (unconditional) to 24.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
16 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
13 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2022
-14.0% - 7.0% (unconditional) to 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
5.2 – 6.4 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
4.7 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Mar 2026
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Central African Republic has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
20302050
Conditionally: A 5.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 25.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Oct 2016
20302050
Conditionally: A 5.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 25.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jan 2022
Active
20252030
A 9.0% (unconditional) to 14.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 11.8% (unconditional) to 24.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Mar 2026
Active
2035
-14.0% - 7.0% (unconditional) to 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.