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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Nicaragua’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 5–245% above 2019 levels by 2030.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Nicaragua’s 2030 pledge: A 10.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 5–245% above 2019 levels by 2030.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
71Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2030 pledge: A 10.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Nicaragua, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
19
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
21
Mt CO₂-eq
+10% vs 2019
2030 · projected
66
Mt CO₂-eq
+245% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of the active submission. The target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 8.0% (unconditional) to 10.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
71 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
70 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Nicaragua has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
NDC · Sep 2018
NDC · Dec 2020
2030
A 8.0% (unconditional) to 10.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
2030
A 8.0% (unconditional) to 10.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.