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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Morocco’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 98% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Morocco’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 98% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
117Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2021AR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
131Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR6, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
Net zero
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR6, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Morocco has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Morocco, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
99
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
98
Mt CO₂-eq
−1% vs 2019
2030 · projected
79
Mt CO₂-eq
−20% vs 2019
2035 · projected
80
Mt CO₂-eq
−19% vs 2019
2050 · projected
1.6
Mt CO₂-eq
−98% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 18.3% (unconditional) to 45.5% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
117 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
78 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2021
A 21.6% (unconditional) to 53.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
131 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
78 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Conditionally: Net zero emissions.
With support
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Conditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: In 2100: Net zero emissions. Coverage: all gases. The high end of ambition is: In 2050: Net zero emissions. Coverage: only CO2.
With support
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Dec 2021
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “AR6”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR6 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Morocco has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Jun 2015
2030
A 13.0% (unconditional) to 32.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2016
2030
A 17.0% (unconditional) to 42.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jun 2021
Active
2030
A 18.3% (unconditional) to 45.5% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
20352050
A 21.6% (unconditional) to 53.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: Net zero emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Dec 2021
Active
20502100
Conditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: In 2100: Net zero emissions. Coverage: all gases. The high end of ambition is: In 2050: Net zero emissions. Coverage: only CO2.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.