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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Honduras’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Honduras’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 44% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Honduras’ 2035 pledge: A 17.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 44% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
51Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2026AR5, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
66Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2026AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: A 17.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Honduras, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
22
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
26
Mt CO₂-eq
+15% vs 2019
2030 · projected
14
Mt CO₂-eq
−37% vs 2019
2035 · projected
13
Mt CO₂-eq
−44% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
51 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
42 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2026
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
66 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
55 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2026
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Honduras has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Oct 2015
2030
Conditionally: A 15.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2016
2030
Conditionally: A 15.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · May 2021
2030
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 16.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2025
2030
Conditionally: A 9.6% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jan 2026
Active
20302035
Unchanged business-as-usual emissions (unconditional) to a 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.