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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Belize’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Belize’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 34–913% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Belize’s 2050 pledge: A 45.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 34–913% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
−5.8Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2021 · supersededGWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
−358kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2025GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
1.0 – 3.9Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in May 2023n/a (only CO2)
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ. If the latest pledge has no figure for a year, we show the last pledge that did.
Pledges to pathways
The 2050 pledge: A 45.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Belize, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
1.3
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
1.6
Mt CO₂-eq
+19% vs 2019
2030 · projected
6.3
Mt CO₂-eq
+371% vs 2019
2035 · projected
7.4
Mt CO₂-eq
+446% vs 2019
2050 · projected
14
Mt CO₂-eq
+913% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Conditionally: A custom target, approximated as: An absolute target of -1.2 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
−1.2 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2025
Conditionally: A custom target, approximated as: An absolute target of -0.4 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
−358 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jun 2025
Conditionally: Between 45.0% and 86.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
With support
1.0 – 3.9 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in May 2023
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “n/a (only CO2)”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Belize has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Oct 2015
NDC · Apr 2016
NDC · Sep 2021
2030
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 14.7% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jun 2025
Active
20302035
Conditionally: A custom target, approximated as: An absolute target of -1.2 Mt CO2-e/yr. Conditionally: A custom target, approximated as: An absolute target of -0.4 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · May 2023
Active
2050
Conditionally: Between 45.0% and 86.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.