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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Gambia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 58% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Gambia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 58% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
6.4Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2021GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
10Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2026AR6, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
Net zero
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Sep 2022AR4, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Gambia has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Gambia, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
2.5
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
2.7
Mt CO₂-eq
+8% vs 2019
2030 · projected
6.7
Mt CO₂-eq
+165% vs 2019
2035 · projected
12
Mt CO₂-eq
+357% vs 2019
2050 · projected
4
Mt CO₂-eq
+58% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Conditionally: A 44.4% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
With support
1.9 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2016
A 2.6% (unconditional) to 49.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
6.4 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
3.3 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2021
A 7.2% (unconditional) to 31.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
10 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
7.6 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2026
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Sep 2022
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “AR6”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR6 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Gambia has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
20252030
Conditionally: A 44.4% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 45.4% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2016
Active
20252030
Conditionally: A 44.4% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 45.4% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2021
Active
20302050
A 2.6% (unconditional) to 49.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
NDC · Aug 2026
Active
2035
A 7.2% (unconditional) to 31.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Sep 2022
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.