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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Chile’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 44% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Chile’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 44% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
98Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR4
2035 target
94Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR4
2050 target
Net zero
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR4, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Chile has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Chile, AR6 GWP-100.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
110
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
103
Mt CO₂-eq
−6% vs 2019
2030 · projected
98
Mt CO₂-eq
−10% vs 2019
2035 · projected
94
Mt CO₂-eq
−14% vs 2019
2050 · projected
61
Mt CO₂-eq
−44% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: An absolute target of 95.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
98 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: An absolute target of 90.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
94 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0.1 kt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2021
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Chile has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
A 30.0% (unconditional) to 35.0% - 45.0% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2007.
NDC · Feb 2017
2030
A 30.0% (unconditional) to 35.0% - 45.0% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2007.
NDC · Apr 2020
2030
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: An absolute target of 95.0 Mt CO2-e/yr.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
203020352050
Unconditionally: An absolute target of 95.0 Mt CO2-e/yr. Unconditionally: An absolute target of 90.0 Mt CO2-e/yr. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Nov 2021
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.