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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Indonesia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 30–69% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Indonesia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 30–69% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
1,969Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2022 · supersededAR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
1,258 – 1,490Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ. If the latest pledge has no figure for a year, we show the last pledge that did.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Indonesia has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Indonesia, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
983
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
1,164
Mt CO₂-eq
+18% vs 2019
2030 · projected
1,586
Mt CO₂-eq
+61% vs 2019
2035 · projected
1,662
Mt CO₂-eq
+69% vs 2019
2050 · projected
821
Mt CO₂-eq
−17% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Conditionally: An absolute target of between 1,345.7 and 1,491.5 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
1,345 – 1,491 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2025
Conditionally: An absolute target of between 1,257.7 and 1,488.9 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
1,258 – 1,490 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2025
Conditionally: An absolute target of between -80.9 and -71.2 Mt CO2-e/yr.
With support
−81 – −71 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2025
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jul 2021
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Indonesia has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
A 29.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2016
20202030
Unconditionally: A 26.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 29.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jul 2021
20202030
A 29.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Unconditionally: A 26.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2022
2030
A 31.9% (unconditional) to 43.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Oct 2025
Active
203020352060
Conditionally: An absolute target of between 1,345.7 and 1,491.5 Mt CO2-e/yr. Conditionally: An absolute target of between 1,257.7 and 1,488.9 Mt CO2-e/yr. Conditionally: An absolute target of between -80.9 and -71.2 Mt CO2-e/yr.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Jul 2021
Active
2060
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.