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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading United Kingdom’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
United Kingdom has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
United Kingdom has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
256Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2022AR5, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
156Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
Net zero
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Oct 2021AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target United Kingdom has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for United Kingdom, AR6 GWP-100.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
454
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
379
Mt CO₂-eq
−17% vs 2019
2030 · projected
254
Mt CO₂-eq
−44% vs 2019
2035 · projected
152
Mt CO₂-eq
−67% vs 2019
2050 · projected
−4.5
Mt CO₂-eq
−101% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 68.0% below 1990 levels.
Unconditional
256 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2022
Unconditionally: 81.0% below 1990 levels.
Unconditional
156 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Oct 2021
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy United Kingdom has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Mar 2015
2030
Unconditionally: A reduction according to the the EU ETS and ESR mechanisms. ETS: 43.0% reduction. ESR: 37.0% reduction.
NDC · Oct 2016
2030
Unconditionally: A reduction according to the the EU ETS and ESR mechanisms. ETS: 43.0% reduction. ESR: 37.0% reduction.
NDC · Dec 2020
2030
Unconditionally: 68.0% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Sep 2022
Active
2030
Unconditionally: 68.0% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Jan 2025
Active
2035
Unconditionally: 81.0% below 1990 levels.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Apr 2018
2050
Unconditionally: 80.0% below 1990 levels.
LT-LEDS · Oct 2021
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.