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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Guinea’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 26–63% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Guinea’s 2035 pledge: A 20.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 26–63% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
21Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2021GWP unclear
2035 target
14Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025AR5
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: A 20.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Guinea, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
17
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
18
Mt CO₂-eq
+12% vs 2019
2030 · projected
20
Mt CO₂-eq
+20% vs 2019
2035 · projected
27
Mt CO₂-eq
+63% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 9.7% (unconditional) to 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
21 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
19 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jul 2021
A 9.7% (unconditional) to 20.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
14 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
12 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025
“All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Guinea has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Oct 2015
2030
Conditionally: 13.0% below 1994 levels.
NDC · Sep 2016
2030
Conditionally: 13.0% below 1994 levels.
NDC · Jul 2021
Active
2030
A 9.7% (unconditional) to 17.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2025
Active
2035
A 9.7% (unconditional) to 20.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.