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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Papua New Guinea’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 81% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Papua New Guinea’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 81% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
12Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020SAR
2050 target
Net zero
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020SAR
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Papua New Guinea has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Papua New Guinea, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
12
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
15
Mt CO₂-eq
+24% vs 2019
2030 · projected
6.5
Mt CO₂-eq
−46% vs 2019
2035 · projected
5.5
Mt CO₂-eq
−54% vs 2019
2050 · projected
2.3
Mt CO₂-eq
−81% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 50.0% below 2015 levels.
Unconditional
12 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
4.4 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020
“SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Papua New Guinea has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
NDC · Mar 2016
NDC · Dec 2020
Active
20302050
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 50.0% below 2015 levels. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.