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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Türkiye’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Türkiye’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 7–31% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Türkiye’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 7–31% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
694Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Apr 2023AR5, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
643Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Türkiye has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Türkiye, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
520
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
586
Mt CO₂-eq
+13% vs 2019
2030 · projected
732
Mt CO₂-eq
+41% vs 2019
2035 · projected
682
Mt CO₂-eq
+31% vs 2019
2050 · projected
146
Mt CO₂-eq
−72% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: A 41.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
694 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Apr 2023
Unconditionally: A 42.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
643 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2024
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Türkiye has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
Conditionally: A 21.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Oct 2021
2030
Unconditionally: A 21.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Apr 2023
Active
20302053
Unconditionally: A 41.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
NDC · Nov 2025
Active
2035
Unconditionally: A 42.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Nov 2024
Active
2053
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.