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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Cuba’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 6% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Cuba’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 6% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
41Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2020
2035 target
14Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025AR4
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Cuba has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Cuba, AR6 GWP-100.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
53
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
50
Mt CO₂-eq
−5% vs 2019
2030 · projected
48
Mt CO₂-eq
−9% vs 2019
2035 · projected
50
Mt CO₂-eq
−6% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
41 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2020
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
14 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025
“AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Cuba has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
NDC · Dec 2016
NDC · Sep 2020
Active
2030
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Feb 2025
Active
2035
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.