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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Tunisia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 54% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Tunisia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 54% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
67Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2017AR4, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
29Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
Net zero
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2022AR4
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Tunisia has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Tunisia, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
45
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
48
Mt CO₂-eq
+7% vs 2019
2030 · projected
58
Mt CO₂-eq
+30% vs 2019
2035 · projected
34
Mt CO₂-eq
−25% vs 2019
2050 · projected
21
Mt CO₂-eq
−54% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
13.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2010.
Unconditional
67 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
46 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2017
An absolute target of 29.0 (unconditional) to 23.2 (conditional) Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
29 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
23 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Nov 2022
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Tunisia has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
13.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2010.
NDC · Feb 2017
Active
2030
13.0% (unconditional) to 41.0% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2010.
NDC · Oct 2021
2030
A 27.0% - 65.4% (unconditional) to 45.0% - 73.9% (conditional) reduction of emission intensity compared to the emissions intensity in 2010.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
2035
An absolute target of 29.0 (unconditional) to 23.2 (conditional) Mt CO2-e/yr.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Nov 2022
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.