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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Jamaica’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 24% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Jamaica’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 24% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
4.4Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR6, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
4.4Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR6, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
3.2Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Aug 2025AR5, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Jamaica has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Jamaica, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
16
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
14
Mt CO₂-eq
−8% vs 2019
2030 · projected
13
Mt CO₂-eq
−21% vs 2019
2035 · projected
12
Mt CO₂-eq
−24% vs 2019
2050 · projected
4.8
Mt CO₂-eq
−70% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 26.3% (unconditional) to 30.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 2012.
Unconditional
4.4 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
4.2 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
A 27.1% (unconditional) to 41.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 2012.
Unconditional
4.4 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
3.5 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: 73.0% below 2020 levels.
Unconditional
3.2 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Aug 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Aug 2025
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR6”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR6 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Jamaica has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
2030
A 7.8% (unconditional) to 10.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Apr 2017
2030
A 7.8% (unconditional) to 10.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jul 2020
2030
A 25.4% (unconditional) to 28.5% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
20302035
A 26.3% (unconditional) to 30.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 2012. A 27.1% (unconditional) to 41.7% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to 2012.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Aug 2025
Active
20502060
Unconditionally: 73.0% below 2020 levels. Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.