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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Bangladesh’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 25–37% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Bangladesh’s 2035 pledge: A 20.3% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 25–37% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
417Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2021SAR
2035 target
392Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 20252006 IPCC Guidelines, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: A 20.3% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Bangladesh, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
239
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
261
Mt CO₂-eq
+9% vs 2019
2030 · projected
343
Mt CO₂-eq
+44% vs 2019
2035 · projected
327
Mt CO₂-eq
+37% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 6.7% (unconditional) to 21.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
417 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
350 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2021
A 6.4% (unconditional) to 20.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
392 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
333 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials. “2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Bangladesh has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
2030
A 5.0% (unconditional) to 15.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2016
2030
A 5.0% (unconditional) to 15.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Dec 2020
2030
A 5.0% (unconditional) to 15.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Aug 2021
Active
2030
A 6.7% (unconditional) to 21.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
2035
A 6.4% (unconditional) to 20.3% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.