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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Serbia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 41–54% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Serbia’s 2050 pledge: 55.0% below 2010 levels.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 41–54% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
55Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2022AR4
2035 target
50Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025AR5
2050 target
18 – 26Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jan 2024AR4, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2050 pledge: 55.0% below 2010 levels.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Serbia, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
62
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
61
Mt CO₂-eq
−3% vs 2019
2030 · projected
55
Mt CO₂-eq
−11% vs 2019
2035 · projected
50
Mt CO₂-eq
−21% vs 2019
2050 · projected
37
Mt CO₂-eq
−41% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 13.2% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
55 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Aug 2022
Conditionally: 40.1% below 1990 levels.
With support
50 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Unconditionally: 55.0–69.0% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
18 – 26 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Jan 2024
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “AR5”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR5 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Serbia has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Jun 2015
2030
Unconditionally: 9.8% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Jul 2017
2030
Unconditionally: 9.8% below 1990 levels.
NDC · Aug 2022
Active
2030
Unconditionally: 13.2% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
2035
Conditionally: 40.1% below 1990 levels.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Jan 2024
Active
2050
Unconditionally: 55.0–69.0% below 2010 levels.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.