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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Burkina Faso’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 739% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Burkina Faso’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 739% above 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
66Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 20252006 IPCC Guidelines, incl. LULUCF
2035 target
60Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 20252006 IPCC Guidelines, incl. LULUCF
2050 target
167Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2021 · supersededSAR, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ. If the latest pledge has no figure for a year, we show the last pledge that did.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Burkina Faso has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Burkina Faso, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
18
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
22
Mt CO₂-eq
+23% vs 2019
2030 · projected
59
Mt CO₂-eq
+230% vs 2019
2035 · projected
80
Mt CO₂-eq
+350% vs 2019
2050 · projected
150
Mt CO₂-eq
+739% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
A 10.8% (unconditional) to 16.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
84 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
79 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2021
A 22.4% (unconditional) to 30.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
66 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
59 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2025
A 36.9% (unconditional) to 55.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
60 Mt CO₂-eq
With support
43 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2025
Conditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: In 2050: Net zero emissions. The high end of ambition is: In 2045: Net zero emissions.
With support
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Mar 2025
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials. “2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Burkina Faso has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Sep 2015
202020252030
A 5.6% (unconditional) to 11.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 6.3% (unconditional) to 11.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 6.6% (unconditional) to 11.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Nov 2016
202020252030
A 5.6% (unconditional) to 11.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 6.3% (unconditional) to 11.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 6.6% (unconditional) to 11.6% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Oct 2021
Active
202520302050
A 10.8% (unconditional) to 16.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 19.6% (unconditional) to 29.4% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 11.5% (unconditional) to 34.4% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Dec 2025
Active
20302035
A 22.4% (unconditional) to 30.9% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. A 36.9% (unconditional) to 55.2% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Mar 2025
Active
20452050
Conditionally: A target range. The low end of ambition is: In 2050: Net zero emissions. The high end of ambition is: In 2045: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.