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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Tuvalu’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Tuvalu’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 58% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Tuvalu’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 58% below 2019 levels by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
15kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 20222006 IPCC Guidelines
2035 target
17kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 20252006 IPCC Guidelines
2050 target
Net zero
From the NDC submitted in Sep 20252006 IPCC Guidelines
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Tuvalu has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Tuvalu, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
22
kt CO₂-eq
2024
26
kt CO₂-eq
+18% vs 2019
2030 · projected
14
kt CO₂-eq
−35% vs 2019
2035 · projected
11
kt CO₂-eq
−49% vs 2019
2050 · projected
9
kt CO₂-eq
−58% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 60.0% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
15 kt CO₂-eq
With support
5.4 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Nov 2022
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 80.0% below 2014 levels.
Unconditional
17 kt CO₂-eq
With support
2.2 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
Conditionally: Net zero emissions.
With support
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Sep 2025
“2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Tuvalu has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
2030
Unconditionally: 60.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Apr 2016
2030
Conditionally: 60.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Nov 2022
Active
20302050
Conditionally: Net zero emissions. Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 60.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Sep 2025
Active
20352050
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: 80.0% below 2014 levels. Conditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.