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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Saint Lucia’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Saint Lucia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 19% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Saint Lucia’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 19% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
469kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 20212006 IPCC Guidelines
2035 target
238kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025AR4
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Saint Lucia has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Saint Lucia, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
800
kt CO₂-eq
2024
864
kt CO₂-eq
+8% vs 2019
2030 · projected
860
kt CO₂-eq
+7% vs 2019
2035 · projected
650
kt CO₂-eq
−19% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
758 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2021
Unconditionally: 7.2% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
469 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2021
An absolute target of 0.2 (unconditional) to 0.2 (conditional) Mt CO2-e/yr.
Unconditional
238 kt CO₂-eq
With support
200 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025
“2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Saint Lucia has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
20252030
Conditionally: A 23.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 16.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Apr 2016
20252030
Conditionally: A 23.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions. Conditionally: A 16.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Jan 2021
Active
20252030
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions. Unconditionally: 7.2% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Feb 2025
Active
2035
An absolute target of 0.2 (unconditional) to 0.2 (conditional) Mt CO2-e/yr.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.