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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Palau’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 51% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Palau’s 2035 pledge: A 44.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
For total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF, that is 51% below 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2035 target
145kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 20262006 IPCC Guidelines, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
The 2035 pledge: A 44.0% reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Palau, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
389
kt CO₂-eq
2024
446
kt CO₂-eq
+15% vs 2019
2030 · projected
272
kt CO₂-eq
−30% vs 2019
2035 · projected
191
kt CO₂-eq
−51% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Conditionally: 22.0% below 2005 levels.
With support
312 kt CO₂-eq
From the INDC submitted in Nov 2015
A 12.0% (unconditional) to 44.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
145 kt CO₂-eq
With support
92 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Jan 2026
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Palau has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
Active
2025
Conditionally: 22.0% below 2005 levels.
NDC · Apr 2016
2025
Conditionally: 22.0% below 2005 levels.
NDC · Jan 2026
Active
2035
A 12.0% (unconditional) to 44.0% (conditional) reduction of emissions compared to business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.