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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading factsheet
NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Marshall Islands’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Marshall Islands has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Marshall Islands has pledged net zero emissions by 2050.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
109kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020SAR
2035 target
83kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020 · supersededSAR
2050 target
Net zero
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Sep 2018GWP unclear, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ. If the latest pledge has no figure for a year, we show the last pledge that did.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Marshall Islands has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Marshall Islands, AR6 GWP-100. Shaded bands show the range of published interpretations of each pledge.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
203
kt CO₂-eq
2024
228
kt CO₂-eq
+13% vs 2019
2030 · projected
109
kt CO₂-eq
−46% vs 2019
2035 · projected
77
kt CO₂-eq
−62% vs 2019
2050 · projected
0
Mt CO₂-eq
−100% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: 32.0% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
135 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020
Unconditionally: 45.0% below 2010 levels.
Unconditional
109 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2020
Conditionally: 58.0% below 2010 levels.
With support
77 kt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Feb 2025
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
Unconditional
0 Mt CO₂-eq
From the LT-LEDS submitted in Sep 2018
“Economy-wide”: the target covers all major sectors. “All gases”: covers the full basket of greenhouse gases. “incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “SAR”: gases aggregated using IPCC Second Assessment Report 100-year global warming potentials. “AR4”: gases aggregated using IPCC AR4 100-year global warming potentials. “GWP unclear”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Marshall Islands has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Jul 2015
20252030
Unconditionally: 32.0% below 2010 levels. Unconditionally: 45.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Apr 2016
20252030
Conditionally: 32.0% below 2010 levels. Conditionally: 45.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Nov 2018
202520302035
Unconditionally: 32.0% below 2010 levels. Unconditionally: 45.0% below 2010 levels. Unconditionally: 58.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Dec 2020
Active
202520302035
Unconditionally: 32.0% below 2010 levels. Unconditionally: 45.0% below 2010 levels. Unconditionally: 58.0% below 2010 levels.
NDC · Feb 2025
Active
2035
Conditionally: 58.0% below 2010 levels.
Long-term strategies
LT-LEDS · Sep 2018
Active
2050
Unconditionally: Net zero emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.