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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
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NDC Quantification
Pledges to pathways
Loading Bahrain’s factsheet
NDC Quantification
Bahrain’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 16% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Pledges to pathways
NDC Quantification
Bahrain’s latest quantified pledge puts emissions 16% above 2019 levels by 2035.
Data release 21 October 2026, reflecting the latest submissions
2030 target
32Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2021N/A (no quantitative emission target)
2035 target
33Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 20252006 IPCC Guidelines, incl. LULUCF
These figures use each pledge’s own scope. The chart below measures every pledge the same way, so its numbers can differ.
Pledges to pathways
Every target Bahrain has communicated, turned into an emissions pathway and set against its observed emissions.
Total greenhouse-gas emissions excl. LULUCF for Bahrain, AR6 GWP-100.
Notes: Licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0.
Data as of the 21 October 2026 data release
Indicators
Observed values up to 2024. Later years follow the quantified pledge pathway.
2019
38
Mt CO₂-eq
2024
41
Mt CO₂-eq
+8% vs 2019
2030 · projected
44
Mt CO₂-eq
+15% vs 2019
2035 · projected
44
Mt CO₂-eq
+16% vs 2019
Scope & conditionality
Coverage and conditionality are derived from our structured assessment of each submission. Each target is shown as submitted, in its own scope. The chart above measures every pledge the same way (AR6, excl. LULUCF), so its numbers can differ.
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
32 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Oct 2021
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
Unconditional
33 Mt CO₂-eq
From the NDC submitted in Dec 2025
“incl. LULUCF”: includes land use, land-use change and forestry. “N/A (no quantitative emission target)”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses. “2006 IPCC Guidelines”: the submission does not say which global warming potentials it uses.
Submission history
We have quantified every NDC and long-term strategy Bahrain has submitted since 2015, including the pledges it has since superseded, so the evolution of ambition reads oldest to newest.
NDCs and INDCs
INDC · Nov 2015
NDC · Dec 2016
NDC · Oct 2021
Active
2030
Unconditionally: A custom target, approximated as: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
NDC · Dec 2025
Active
2035
Unconditionally: Unchanged business-as-usual emissions.
We publish our quantification of each new submission within days of it reaching the UNFCCC registry.
Using the data
Climate Resource makes this data available under the CC BY-NC 4.0 licence. We also provide data and support for commercial use, more frequent updates, metadata, analysis of changes over time and integration into your workflows. Get in touch at contact@climate-resource.com.