This is the updated assessment of warming implied by country commitments ahead of COP27. There has been limited enhancement of pledges and subsequent improvement in projected temperature outcomes in the 12 months since COP26, although 29 countries have submitted updated NDCs in that time. Pledges for 2030 are still a long way from what is required to limit warming to 1.5°C.
November 2022Share Link
The world is still heading for only "just below" 2°C if all long-term pledges are fulfilled
The 1.5°C target is not lost, but the world seems to be choosing an expensive and higher impact path to achieving it